国际能源署署长比罗尔：全球石油需求力度比许多市场观察人士此前预计的要强劲
下一期IEA石油市场报告定于1月19日发布，很可能会对预测进行一些修正
据美国油价网2022年1月13日报道，国际能源署署长法提赫·比罗尔在近日举行的一次在线会议上对媒体记者表示，事实证明，全球石油需求对奥密克戎变种扩散的影响更有弹性，远远超出了IEA的预期。
彭博社援引比罗尔的话报道说：“全球石油需求的力度比许多市场观察人士所认为的要强劲，这主要是由于奥密克戎毒株对市场需求影响的预期较低。”
比罗尔称，“我们看到包括尼日利亚、厄瓜多尔在内的一些主要产油国供应严重中断。”
厄瓜多尔已经减少了原油产量，原因是由于土地侵蚀加剧，需要对两条关键管道进行维修，但根据Argus的一份报告，厄瓜多尔原油产量2月份应该会恢复正常。
在尼日利亚，原油生产继续受到技术和作业问题的影响。 大多数其他欧佩克成员国和俄罗斯也发现很难按照配额来提高原油产量。
IEA预测，由于与新冠肺炎疫情大流行有关的限制措施，今年第一季度全球燃料消费量将大幅下降，但实际限制措施似乎并未对其产生如此严重的影响。
与此同时，IEA在其12月报告中承认，与航空燃料的需求不同，对道路运输燃料的需求将保持强劲，与此同时,IEA在其12月报告中承认,与航空燃料的需求不同,对道路运输燃料的需求将保持强劲，并指出IEA预计奥密克戎毒株对石油需求的影响比先前的病毒更温和。。
IEA预计，去年全球石油需求日增540万桶，今年预计将放缓至330万桶，总需求将恢复至疫情前的9950万桶水平。
下一期IEA石油市场报告定于1月19日发布，很可能会对预测进行一些修正。
李峻 编译自 美国油价网
原文如下：
Oil Demand Strength Exceeds IEA Expectations
IEA Chief Birol: Demand dynamics are stronger than many of the market observers had thought
· The next edition of the IEA’s Oil Market Report is scheduled for next Wednesday and may well contain some revisions in projections
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Global oil demand has proven to be more resilient to the effects of the Omicron variant’s spread than the International Energy Agency expected, according to its chief, Fatih Birol, who spoke to media at a virtual meeting this week.
“Demand dynamics are stronger than many of the market observers had thought, mainly due to the milder Omicron expectations,” Birol said, as quoted by Bloomberg.
“We see some of the key producers including Nigeria,and also Ecuador that have serious supply disruptions,” Birol said.
Ecuador has reduced oil production because of repairs on two key pipelines necessitated by advancing land erosion, but output rates should return to normal next month, according to an Argus report.
In Nigeria, production continues to be affected by technical and operational problems. Most other OPEC members and Russia have also found it hard to boost production in line with quotas.
The IEA forecast that global fuel consumption will decline considerably during this quarter because of pandemic-related restrictions, but it seems that the actual restrictions are not having such a grave effect on it.
At the same time, the IEA acknowledged in its December report that, unlike jet fuel demand, the demand for road transport fuels will remain strong even amid the latest surge in infections, also noting that it expected the effect of Omicron on oil demand to be more muted than previous strains.
The IEA forecast global oil demand to have grown by 5.4 million bpd in 2021, which is seen slowing down to 3.3 million bpd this year, with the total returning to pre-pandemic levels of 99.5 million bpd.
The next edition of the IEA’s Oil Market Report is scheduled for next Wednesday and may well contain some revisions in projections.
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