据今日油价网站3月16日消息:能源信息管理署(EIA)周三表示,未来几个月,油价将继续高于每桶100美元。
EIA上周在其最新的短期能源展望(STEO)中表示,布伦特原油今年的平均价格预计为每桶105.22美元,大大高于2月份82.87美元的预测。
在上周发布的3月份STEO报告中,EIA表示,预计布伦特原油3月份的平均价格为每桶117美元,今年第二季度将为每桶116美元,2022年下半年为每桶102美元。
美国基准WTI原油本月的平均价格为每桶113美元,2022年第二季度的平均价格将为每桶112美元。
周三早些时候,在EIA库存报告之前,WTI上涨2%,超过98美元;布伦特原油上涨1.6%,达到101.46美元。
然而,EIA的油价预测由于各种因素,不确定性程度会增加。
目前的布伦特原油价格预测也提高了对美国零售汽油价格的预测,EIA预计本月的平均价格为4.00美元/加仑,并在5月继续上升至4.12美元/加仑的预测高点,然后在今年剩余时间内逐渐下降。
美国常规汽油零售价格今年平均为3.79美元/加仑,2023年为3.33美元/加仑。EIA称,如果实现这一目标,2022年的平均汽油零售价格将是经过通胀调整后的2014年以来的最高平均价格。
根据美国汽车协会的数据,截至3月16日,全国平均汽油价格为4.305美元/加仑。
美国汽车协会发言人安德鲁·格罗斯周一表示:“这场战争正在搅乱本已紧张的全球石油市场,使我们很难确定油价是接近峰值,还是继续走高,这一切都将取决于油价的走向。”
王磊 摘译自 今日油价
原文如下:
EIA: Oil Prices Will Remain Above $100 For Months
Oil prices will remain higher than $100 per barrel in the coming months, the Energy Information Administration (EIA) said on Wednesday.
Brent Crude prices are expected to average $105.22 per barrel this year, the EIA said in its latest Short-Term Energy Outlook (STEO) last week, significantly raising its February forecast of $82.87.
In its March STEO last week, the EIA said it expects Brent Crude prices to average $117 a barrel in March, $116 for the second quarter of this year, and $102 per barrel in the second half of 2022.
WTI Crude, the U.S. benchmark, is set to average $113 a barrel this month and $112 per barrel for the second quarter of 2022.
Early on Wednesday, before the EIA inventory report, WTI was up 2% at over $98, and Brent was rising by 1.6% to $101.46.
EIA’s oil price forecast, however, “is subject to heightened levels of uncertainty due to various factors,” the administration said.
The current forecast Brent price also increased the forecast for the U.S. retail gasoline price, which the EIA expects to average $4.00/gal this month and continue rising to a forecast high of $4.12/gal in May before gradually falling through the rest of the year. The U.S. regular retail gasoline price is now seen to average $3.79/gal this year and $3.33/gal in 2023. If realized, the average 2022 retail gasoline price would be the highest average price since 2014, after adjusting for inflation, the EIA said.
As of March 16, the national average gasoline price was $4.305/gal, according to AAA data.
“This war is roiling an already tight global oil market and making it hard to determine if we are near a peak for pump prices, or if they keep grinding higher. It all depends on the direction of oil prices,” Andrew Gross, AAA spokesperson, said on Monday.
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