据Renewables Now网站3月28日报道，根据德国氢和燃料电池协会（DWV）进行的一项市场调查显示，德国的绿色氢发电能力有可能在本世纪20年代末增长到27.8吉瓦，远高于联邦政府10吉瓦的目标。
该研究的参与者(包括DWV的成员公司)估计，2030年，这个欧洲最大的经济体将生产72.33太瓦时的绿色氢，创造131.6亿欧元(约合144.7亿美元)的收入。
到本世纪二十年代中期，该国的产能可能达到16.25吉瓦，而清洁燃料的产量预计将达到42.33太瓦时，收入达到94.4亿欧元。
据弗朗霍夫太阳能系统研究所(Fraunhofer Institute for Solar Energy Systems ISE)估计，到二十年代中期，碱性电解(AEL)的平均成本估计为每千瓦时553.5欧元，2030年为每千瓦时444欧元。
2025年通过质子交换膜(PEM)技术进行电解的成本预计为每千瓦610欧元，5年后降至502欧元。
DWV指出，在天然气价格急剧上涨的背景下，绿色氢气的价格正变得更具竞争力。该协会进一步表示，调查结果表明，德国联邦政府计划到2030年建立绿色氢市场经济。
参与调查的公司包括西门子能源股份有限公司、Elogen股份有限公司（Elogen GmbH）、ITM 电力股份有限公司/林德股份有限公司、曼恩能源解决方案有限公司、麦菲能源德国有限公司（McPhy Energy Deutschland GmbH）、Sunfire股份有限公司（Sunfire GmbH）和蒂森克虏伯纽塞拉（ThyssenKrupp Nucera）。
(1欧元= 1.100美元)
郝芬 译自 Renewables Now
原文如下：
Germany could raise green hydrogen capacity to 28 GW by 2030
The capacity for green hydrogen generation in Germany has the potential to grow to 27.8 GW at the end of the decade which is far above the federal government's target of 10 GW, according to a market survey conducted by the German Hydrogen and Fuel-Cell Association (DWV).
The participants in the study, which include DWV's member companies, estimate that Europe's largest economy could produce up to 72.33 TWh of green hydrogen in 2030, generating EUR 13.16 billion in revenue (USD 14.47bn).
By the middle of the decade, the country's capacity could reach 16.25 GW while production of the clean fuel is seen at up to 42.33 TWh with revenues reaching EUR 9.44 billion.
The average costs for alkaline electrolysis (AEL) are estimated at EUR 553.5 per kWac in the middle of the decade and at EUR 444 per kWac in 2030, according to the Fraunhofer Institute for Solar Energy Systems ISE. Electrolysis through the proton exchange membrane (PEM) technology is expected to cost EUR 610 per kWac in 2025 and fall to EUR 502 per kWac five years later.
DWV noted that the price of green hydrogen is becoming more competitive against the background of the sharp increase in natural gas prices. The results of the survey fuel hopes that a green hydrogen market economy can be developed by 2030 as the federal government plans, the association said further.
The companies that took part in the survey include Siemens Energy AG, Elogen GmbH, ITM Power GmbH/Linde AG, MAN Energy Solutions SE, McPhy Energy Deutschland GmbH, Sunfire GmbH and ThyssenKrupp Nucera.
(EUR 1 = USD 1.100)
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