据管道&天然气杂志网4月19日路透社报道，周二，美国天然气期货价格下跌10%，这是一次技术性调整，得益于对寒潮的预期导致价格在上一交易日飙升至13年来的峰值后，天气前景略微转暖。
截至美国东部时间上午10:57（格林威治标准时间14:57），即月天然气期货价格下跌10%，至每百万英热单位7.033美元，周一创下2008年9月以来的最高水平。
数据提供商Refinitiv的分析师John Abeln表示，这主要是一个动量问题，是对过去一周价格大幅上涨的修正……市场基本面无法支撑如此高的价格。并补充道，过去12个小时的天气发生了变化，两周的天气预报将有所转暖。
据数据提供商Refinitiv估计，未来两周美国本土48个州将有130个采暖度日数(HDD)，低于昨日预测的156个，但略高于30年同期126个的正常水平。
HDD用于估计家庭和企业供暖的需求，测量每天平均温度低于65华氏度(18摄氏度)的度数。
与此同时，根据Refinitiv的数据显示，美国本土48个州的天然气日均产量从3月份的937立方英尺上升到4月份的945亿立方英尺，但低于去年12月份963立方英尺的月度纪录。
Abeln表示，生产水平无疑是近期至中期的重点……尽管产量反弹是确定无疑的，但反弹的速度仍是非常未知的，未来几个月市场将真正关注这一点。
郝芬 译自 管道&天然气杂志网
原文如下：
US Natgas Futures Beat Sharp Retreat, Shed 10%
U.S. natural gas futures fell 10% on Tuesday, in a technical correction aided by a shift to a slightly warmer weather outlook after expectations of a cold snap sent prices soaring to an over 13-year peak in the last session.
Front-month gas futures slipped 10% to $7.033 per million British thermal units as of 10:57 a.m. EDT (1457 GMT), having scaled a peak since September 2008 on Monday.
"It's mostly an issue of momentum and a correction to the huge run-up in prices over the past week... Prices that high are not supported by the market fundamentals," said John Abeln, an analyst with data provider Refinitiv,
There has been a shift in the weather over the past 12 hours, with the 2-week forecasts shifting somewhat warmer, Abeln added.
Data provider Refinitiv estimated 130 heating degree days (HDDs) over the next two weeks in the Lower 48 U.S. states, slipping from yesterday's outlook of 156 HDDs, though slightly higher than the 30-year norm of 126 HDDs for this time of year.
HDDs, used to estimate demand to heat homes and businesses, measure the number of degrees a day's average temperature is below 65 Fahrenheit (18 Celsius).
Meanwhile, data from Refinitiv showed average gas output in the U.S. Lower 48 states rose to 94.5 billion cubic feet per day (Bcf/d) so far in April from 93.7 Bcf/d in March, down from December's monthly record of 96.3 Bcf/d.
"Production levels are definitely the key focus in the near to medium term... While a production rebound is assured, the speed of that rebound is very much unknown, and the markets will really be watching that in the months to come," Abeln said.
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