•国际货币基金组织将沙特今年的经济增长目标定为7.6%，将预期提高了2.8%。
•石油产量和出口收入的增加为沙特经济提供了动力。
据今日油价网4月19日报道，国际货币基金组织(IMF)周二上调了沙特经济增长预期，该组织称，油价将推动沙特经济进入高增长模式，今年将增长一倍以上。
国际货币基金组织将沙特今年的经济增长目标定为7.6%，将预期提高了2.8%。
虽然这在很大程度上归因于多年来的高油价，但IMF也注意到非石油收入的增长，并预计将进一步增长。
IMF在其《世界经济展望》报告中表示：“我们将对沙特经济增长率的估计提高了2.8个百分点，这反映了石油产量根据欧佩克+协议的增加，以及更多非石油产量增长超过预期。”
凯投宏观的一份报告显示，3月份沙特石油产量增至1030万桶/天，同比增长26.7%，是该国近20年来最快的增速。
凯投宏观预测沙特经济今年将增长10%，2023年将增长5.3%。
与此同时，据《阿拉伯新闻》报道，凯投宏观的经济学家 James Swanston仍然乐观地认为，沙特将进一步增加产量，超出欧佩克+已达成的协议。
国际货币基金组织(IMF)对沙特阿拉伯的双重增长预测出炉之际，该国正将其对整体经济增长的预测从2021年的6.1%下调至2022年和2023年的3.6%。
季廷伟 摘译自 今日油价网
原文如下：
Saudi Economic Growth To Double This Year On High Oil Prices
•The IMF is targeting 7.6% growth for the Saudi economy this year, raising its forecast by 2.8%.
•The increase in oil production and export revenues fuel the Saudi economy.
High oil prices will push Saudi Arabia’s economy into high-growth mode, more than doubling this year, according to the International Monetary Fund (IMF), which raised its growth forecast for the Kingdom on Tuesday.
The IMF is targeting 7.6% growth for the Saudi economy this year, raising its forecast by 2.8%.
While much of this was attributed to multi-year-high oil prices, the IMF has also noted growth and expected further growth in non-oil revenues.
“We raised our estimates of the growth rate of the Saudi economy by 2.8 percentage points, which reflects the increase in oil production in accordance with the OPEC+ agreement, in conjunction with the more non-oil output growth exceeding expectations,” the IMF said in its World Economic Outlook report.
A Capital Economics report has Saudi oil production rising to 10.3 million barrels per day in March, for 26.7% year-on-year growth, which is classified as the fastest rate of growth for the kingdom in nearly two decades.
Capital Economics forecasts the Saudi economy will grow by 10% this year and by 5.3% in 2023.
At the same time, Capital Economics economist James Swanston remains optimistic that the Saudis will further increase output beyond what OPEC+ has agreed to, Arab News reports.
The IMF’s double-growth projections for Saudi Arabia come as it slashes its forecast for overall economic growth from 6.1% in 2021 to 3.6% in 2022 and 2023.
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