欧佩克+下调今年全球石油需求预测

欧佩克技术委员会已将今年全球石油日需求预测下调20万桶  

欧佩克预计今年全球石油日需求将增加340万桶  

欧佩克+预计不会在本周四举行的会议上大幅提高产量上限 

据美国油价网6月1日报道，能源情报网表示，在周四的欧佩克+联盟会议召开之前，欧佩克+联盟的技术委员会将今年全球石油日需求预测下调20万桶。  

欧佩克周三表示，在联合部长级监督委员会(JMMC)周四召开会议之前，联合技术委员会(JTC)6月1日举行了定期会议，审查石油市场的发展情况，随后欧佩克+部长级会议将举行，但没有提供讨论的细节。 

根据JTC审查的一份报告，今年全球石油需求预计将日增340万桶，地缘政治局势和疫情的发展被认为是预测的关键风险。

5月份，欧佩克连续第二个月下调其对今年全球石油需求增长预期。欧佩克在5月中旬说，全球石油日需求增长将比4月份报告中的预期减少31万桶。

欧佩克+将于周四召开会议，外界普遍预计该组织将在决定7月份产量水平时批准石油产量的温和月度增长。尽管欧盟禁止从大国进口大部分石油，但根据过去几天的大量报道，欧佩克+联盟不太可能超出计划的增产配额。

《华尔街日报》6月1日援引欧佩克代表的话报道说，部分成员国正在考虑将大国排除在限制各成员国原油产量的欧佩克+协议之外的可能性。

暂停大国在欧佩克+中的角色可能会让其他成员国以更快的速度提高石油产量，尽管只有少数欧佩克成员国被认为有能力在当前协议允许的范围内尽快提高产量。 

李峻 编译自 美国油价网

原文如下：

OPEC+ Cuts Global Oil Demand Forecast For This Year

OPEC's technical panel has cut the oil demand forecast by 200,000 bpd for 2022.

OPEC now sees global demand grow by 3.4 million bpd this year.

OPEC+ is not expected to significantly raise its production cap at its meeting this Thursday.

The technical panel of the OPEC+ group has reduced its global oil demand forecast for 2022 by 200,000 barrels per day (bpd) ahead of the alliance’s meeting on Thursday, Energy Intelligence reports.

The Joint Technical Committee (JTC) held its regular meeting today to review oil market developments ahead of Thursday’s meeting of the Joint Ministerial Monitoring Committee (JMMC) that would be followed by the OPEC+ ministerial meeting, OPEC said on Wednesday, without providing details of the discussions.

According to a report for the JTC to review, global oil demand is now expected to grow by 3.4 million bpd this year, with the geopolitical situation and COVID developments cited as key risks to the forecast, Energy Intelligence reports.

Last month, OPEC revised down its global oil demand growth estimate for 2022 a second month running. OPEC said in the middle of May that oil demand would grow by 310,000 fewer barrels per day than the growth anticipated in the April report.

OPEC+ meets on Thursday, and it is widely expected to rubberstamp its moderate monthly increases in oil production when it decides output levels for July. Despite the EU ban on most the world’s largest oil producer's oil imports, the alliance is unlikely to increase production quotas more than planned, according to numerous reports of the past few days.

Some OPEC members are mulling over the possibility of suspending the world’s largest oil producer from the OPEC+ deal that limits the amount of crude oil that each member can produce, the Wall Street Journal reported on Tuesday, citing OPEC delegates.

Suspending the world’s largest oil producer’s role in the group could allow other members to increase oil production at a quicker pace—although there are only a few OPEC members believed to have the capacity to ramp up production as quickly as the current deal allows.