据美国油价网2022年6月15日报道,国际能源署周三表示,由于全球需求增长不均衡和炼油能力有限,燃料市场,尤其是柴油和煤油市场可能继续非常紧张。
IEA在6月份的《石油市场报告》中说,在美国、欧洲和亚洲炼油厂的维护季节结束后,由于夏季旅游旺季需求强劲,炼油活动将全面稳步复苏。
今年和明年全球炼油产能也将增加,但不会完全抵消疫情开始以来关闭的产能。
IEA在其对2023年石油市场的首次展望中表示,今年全球炼油产能预计将日增100万桶,2023年将再日增160万桶,但由于各地区复苏步伐不均衡,石油产品市场仍将紧张。
从今年5月到8月,炼油厂日产量将增加350万桶,今年平均日产量将增加230万桶。IEA补充称,由于非洲、中东和亚洲新建炼油厂,预计2023年炼油厂日产量将再增加190万桶。
“然而,由于需求增长的不平衡和炼油系统的限制,个别产品的短缺很可能会持续。柴油和煤油供应仍然是特别值得关注的问题。”
IEA估计,更高的炼油量不会导致燃料市场的平衡。就在6月15日,美国总统拜登致信石油公司,要求它们生产更多的汽油,为美国消费者降低汽油价格。
李峻 编译自 美国油价网
原文如下:
IEA: Fuel Crunch To Persist Despite Solid Refining Recovery
Fuel markets, especially those of diesel and kerosene, may continue to be very tight amid uneven global demand growth rates and limits in the refining capacity, the International Energy Agency (IEA) said on Wednesday.
After the maintenance season at refineries across the U.S., Europe, and Asia ends, refining activity is set for a solid recovery across the board as demand is robust with the summer travel season, the IEA said in its Oil Market Report for June.
Refining capacity globally is also set to increase this year and next, but not fully offsetting the capacity that has been shut down since the start of the pandemic.
Global refining capacity is expected to rise by 1 million barrels per day (bpd) in 2022 and another 1.6 million bpd in 2023, but product markets will remain tight amid uneven paces of recovery in various regions, the IEA said in its first outlook for the oil market in 2023.
Refinery runs will jump by 3.5 million bpd from May through August 2022, and by 2.3 million bpd for this year on average. Another 1.9 million bpd increase in refinery runs is forecast for 2023, thanks to new refinery start-ups in Africa, the Middle East, and Asia, the IEA added.
“However, shortages in individual products may well persist due to uneven rates of demand growth and limits in the refining system. Diesel and kerosene supplies remain of particular concern,” the agency said.
The IEA’s estimate that higher refinery runs will not lead to a balance on the fuel markets comes on the day on which U.S. President Joe Biden told oil companies in a letter to produce more gasoline and lower gasoline bills for American consumers.
免责声明:本网转载自其它媒体的文章,目的在于弘扬科技创新精神,传递更多科技创新信息,宣传国家科技政策,展示国家科技形象,增强国家科技软实力,参与国际科技舆论竞争,提高国际科技话语权,并不代表本网赞同其观点和对其真实性负责,在此我们谨向原作者和原媒体致以崇高敬意。如果您认为本网文章及图片侵犯了您的版权,请与我们联系,我们将第一时间删除。