据美国油价网2022年6月13日报道,美国能源信息署(EIA)周一发布的最新钻井生产力报告显示,7月份美国7个最高产页岩盆地的页岩产量将日增14.3万桶,至891万桶。
根据EIA公布的统计数据,这将是自2020年3月以来最大的单月增产。
预计7月份页岩产量增幅最大的是二叠纪盆地,从今年6月的523.2万桶/天增加8.4万桶/天,至531.6万桶/天。EIA预测,鹰福特盆地的页岩产量将在7月份日增2.8万桶/天,达到118万桶。
在天然气方面,EIA估计从6月到7月美国页岩气产量将日增7.81亿立方英尺。增幅最大的是阿巴拉契亚地区,每天将增加2.31亿立方英尺,其次是海恩斯维尔,7月份每天应该增加2.26亿立方英尺。
EIA在钻井生产力报告中还估计,美国已开钻但未完钻(DUC)井的数量从4月份的4295口下降到5月份的4249口,这是自EIA开始收集该数据以来的最低水平。自2020年7月以来,DUC的数量一直在稳步下降,当时DUC的数量是今天的两倍多。
由于汽油价格飙升,美国通货膨胀达到40年来的最高点,美国页岩生产商在本季度受到了高度关注。由于汽油价格可能达到每加仑6美元,美国政府正寻求大幅增产。
在EIA之前的钻井生产力报告中,该机构曾估计,6月份美国7大页岩盆地的日总产量将增加14.2万桶,达到876.1万桶,比6月份实际数字高出3000桶。
李峻 编译自 美国油价网
原文如下:
American Shale Drillers Set To Boost Production In July
U.S. Shale production in the seven most prolific shale basins is set to increase 143,000 bpd in July to 8.91 million bpd, according to the Energy Information Administration’s latest Drilling Productivity Report published on Monday.
It would be the largest monthly production increase since March 2020, according to EIA data.
The largest jump is expected to come from the Permian basin, increasing by 84,000 bpd from an estimated 5.232 million bpd in June 2022 to 5.316 million bpd next month. The EIA has forecast that the second largest gainer will be the Eagle Ford, which it expects will see an increase of 28,000 bpd, to 1.180 million bpd in July.
On the natural gas front, the EIA estimates an increase in productivity from June to July, with an uptick of 781 million cubic feet per day. The biggest gains are set to be in Appalachia, which will see an increase of 231 million cubic feet per day, followed by Haynesville, which should be up 226 million cubic feet per day in July.
The EIA also estimated in the Drilling Productivity Report that Drilled but Uncompleted (DUC) wells had slipped from 4,295 in April to 4,249 in May—the lowest it’s been since the EIA started collecting data. The DUC count has been steadily declining since July 2020 when the DUC count was more than double what it is today.
American shale producers are under high-profile scrutiny this quarter, as gasoline prices soar and inflation hits a four-decade high. Washington is looking for big production increase numbers as gasoline prices threaten to reach $6 per gallon.
In the EIA’s previous DPR, the agency had estimated that total production from the seven major U.S. shale basins would rise by 142,000 in June to reach 8.761 million bpd—3,000 bpd above where June figures actually landed.
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