据能源网7月8日华盛顿报道，花旗集团（Citigroup Inc.）全球大宗商品研究主管Ed Morse表示，由于燃料价格上涨，石油需求前景可能会进一步下调。
Morse周三在接受彭博电视采访时表示，几乎所有人都降低了今年的需求预期。花旗集团将其预测下调了约三分之一，至每天240万至250万桶，与美国能源情报署和国际能源署的预测类似。需求的增长根本没有达到人们预期的程度。
随着全球需求回升，各国经济缓慢摆脱疫情影响，今年油价飙升。尽管原油价格徘徊在每桶100美元附近，但花旗重申油价基本预期为每桶85美元，并补充称供应“加速”进入年底。
Morse表示，我们不认为亚洲大国的需求会迅速增长。并指出其今年一直在增加库存。
郝芬 译自 能源网
原文如下：
Citi’s Morse Says Oil Demand Will See Further Downward Revisions -Bloomberg
The outlook for oil demand likely will see further downward revisions amid higher fuel prices, said Ed Morse, global head of commodity research at Citigroup Inc.
“Almost everybody has reduced their expectations of demand for the year,” Morse said in a Bloomberg Television interview Wednesday. Citigroup reduced its forecast by about a third to 2.4 million-2.5 million barrels a day, similar to the US Energy Information Administration and the International Energy Agency. “Demand is simply not growing on an empirical basis to the degree that people had expected.”
Oil prices have soared this year as global demand returned with economies slowly emerging from the pandemic. While crude prices are hovering around $100 a barrel, Citigroup reiterated its base case for oil prices at $85 a barrel, adding that supply is “accelerating” into year-end.
“We don’t see the burgeoning demand coming out of the big country in Asia,” Morse said, noting that the nation has been building stockpiles this year.
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