欧佩克新任秘书长海赛姆·盖斯:最近的石油抛售是由恐惧推动的
欧佩克:原油基本面依然强劲
据美国油价网8月18日报道,欧佩克新任秘书长海赛姆·盖斯对路透社记者表示,全球石油需求仍然强劲,并将持续到今年年底。他指出,最近的石油抛售并没有反映出基本面,而是出于担忧。
盖斯在8月18日刊发的一次采访中对路透社记者表示:“我们仍然非常看好全球石油需求,对今年余下时间的全球石油需求也非常乐观。”
8月早些时候,油价跌至6个月来的最低水平,跌至地缘政治冲突爆发之前的水平。市场对经济衰退的担忧和对经济健康状况的担忧推动了油价下跌,而在油价波动加剧之际,交易员和投机者要么休假,要么不交易石油,导致成交量清淡,进一步加剧油价下跌。
不过,盖斯表示,全球石油需求仍然强劲。盖斯对路透社记者表示:“有很多猜测和焦虑,这是导致油价下跌的主要原因。”
“而在实物市场,我们的看法则大不相同。 欧佩克认为全球石油需求仍然强劲。”盖斯补充说。
欧佩克上周确实把今年全球石油日需求增长预估下调26万桶,但在其备受关注的月度石油市场报告(MOMR)中表示,欧佩克仍预计需求将“健康增长”。
欧佩克预计今年全球石油日需求将增加310万桶,比7月预估的日增长336万桶减少26万桶。
欧佩克表示,全球预计石油日需求仍将“健康增长310万桶,包括最近观察到的发电燃烧更多原油的趋势”。今年,全球石油总需求预计将日均1亿桶。
欧佩克将2023年全球石油日需求增长预估维持在270万桶不变,预计2023年全球石油日总需求将达到1.0272亿桶。
李峻 编译自 美国油价网
原文如下:
OPEC Sees Robust Oil Demand Despite Sell-Off
· OPEC Secretary General al-Ghais: recent sell-off in oil was driven by fear.
· OPEC: crude oil fundamentals remain strong.
Global oil demand is still robust and will be such through the end of this year, OPEC Secretary General Haitham al-Ghais told Reuters, noting that the recent sell-off in oil doesn't reflect fundamentals and is driven by fear.
"We still feel very bullish on demand and very optimistic on demand for the rest of this year," al-Ghais told Reuters in an interview published on Thursday.
Oil prices dropped earlier this month to their lowest level in six months, to the level just before the war. The move lower was driven by fears of recession and concerns about the health of the economy and was further exacerbated by thin trading volumes as traders and speculators are either on vacation or not trading oil amid heightened volatility.
OPEC, however, sees robust demand, according to its new secretary general.
"There is a lot of speculation and anxiety, and that's what's predominantly driving the drop in prices," al-Ghais told Reuters.
"Whereas in the physical market we see things much differently. Demand is still robust," OPEC's chief added.
OPEC did revise down last week its global oil demand growth estimate for this year by 260,000 barrels per day (bpd) but said in its closely-watched Monthly Oil Market Report (MOMR) it still expects "healthy growth".
OPEC sees world oil demand growing by 3.1 million bpd this year, down by 260,000 bpd from last month's growth assessment of 3.36 million bpd growth.
Demand is still expected to show "healthy growth of 3.1 mb/d, including the recently observed trend of burning more crude in power generation," OPEC said. This year, total oil demand is expected to average around 100 million bpd.
OPEC left its 2023 demand growth estimate unchanged from the previous report at 2.7 million bpd, with total 2023 oil demand expected to reach 102.72 million bpd.
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