据钻机地带8月10日报道，能源和环境地理分析公司Kayrros在本周发给钻机地带的一份新报告中指出，全球陆上原油库存在地缘政治冲突激化后，自5月中旬以来一直在小幅下降。
根据Kayrros的数据显示，截至8月6日，陆上原油库存减少至约29.7亿桶，较5月中旬的峰值减少了3500万桶，即每日73万桶。
根据报告中可以追溯到2021年1月数据的一张图表显示，今年1月全球陆上原油库存远低于29亿桶，然后在5月升至2022年峰值。该图表显示，去年的峰值出现在5月之前，约为32亿桶。
Kayrros在报告中指出，截至8月6日，全球陆上原油库存从5月中旬的峰值小幅下降至约29.77亿桶。并补充道，在这种情况下，OPEC+上周同意在9月份将日产量提高10万桶，这是自1986年以来配额增幅最小的一次。在经济放缓和石油需求低迷的迹象下，美国致密油产量的增长可能有助于弥补这一差距，使市场大致保持平衡。
据美国能源信息署（EIA） 8月的短期能源展望（STEO）预计，美国原油日产量将从第二季度的1169万桶上升至第三季度的1201万桶，第四季度为1228万桶。根据STEO的数据显示，预计今年美国原油日产量将达到1186万桶，2023年将达到1270万桶，并强调2021年美国原油日产量为1125万桶。
最近的欧佩克+会议提出了几项警告，包括指出“过剩产能的可用性严重受限”。该集团目前计划于9月5日举行下一次会议。
今年2月，地缘政治冲突升级，油价多年来首次突破每桶100美元。
郝芬 译自 钻机地带
原文如下:
Global onshore Crude Stocks Edge Down
Global crude oil onshore inventories have been edging slightly lower since mid-May after surging in the aftermath of the war, energy and environmental geo-analytics company Kayrros noted in a new report sent to Rigzone this week.
onshore crude stocks decreased to about 2.97 billion barrels as of August 6, according to Kayrros, which highlighted that that the figure marked a drop of 35 million barrels, or 730,000 barrels per day, from a mid-May peak.
According to a chart included in the report, which contained data stretching back to January 2021, global onshore crude oil inventories were well under 2.9 billion barrels back in January this year before rising to their, current, 2022 peak in May. Last year’s peak was seen before May at around 3.2 billion barrels, the chart showed.
“Global onshore crude stocks edged down from their mid-May peak to about 2,977 million barrels as of August 6,” Kayrros stated in the report.
“Against this backdrop, OPEC+ last week agreed to boost its output by 100,000 barrels per day in September, the smallest increase in quota since 1986,” Kayrros added in the report.
“Growing U.S. tight oil production may help bridge the difference and keep markets roughly in balance amid signs of economic slowdown and sluggish oil demand,” Kayrros went on to note.
The U.S. Energy Information Administration’s (EIA) August short term energy outlook (STEO) projects that U.S. crude oil production will rise from 11.69 million barrels per day in the second quarter to 12.01 million barrels per day in Q3 and 12.28 million barrels per day in Q4. U.S. crude oil production is forecasted to hit 11.86 million barrels per day this year and 12.70 million barrels per day in 2023, according to the STEO, which highlights that 2021 U.S. crude oil production came in at 11.25 million barrels per day.
The latest OPEC+ meeting offered several warnings, including the identification of a “severely limited availability of excess capacity”. The group is currently scheduled to hold its next meeting on September 5.
Oil soared past $100 per barrel for the first time in years back in February as the war.
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