据今日石油网2022年8月8日报道，2014年，南美洲钻取的新井数量占全球海上新钻井数量的8%，占陆上新钻井数量的4%。根据挪威著名能源研究和商业情报公司雷斯塔能源公司（Rystad）公布的数据，自2014年底和次年油价暴跌以来，南美洲的石油活动一直呈下降趋势。
Rystad表示：“2016年陆上钻井活动在趋于稳定之前急剧下降，而海上钻井活动的下降相对平稳。”“2020年，由于年初暴发的疫情对全球市场造成严重破坏，南美洲地区的新钻井数量再次受到影响，与前一年相比减少了50%。”
2020年，南美洲的钻井活动仅占全球陆上活动的2%，占海上活动的3%。
这家独立的能源研究和商业情报公司表示，由于需求的恢复和油气价格的上涨，南美洲地区新井的数量已经增加。预计石油活动将在今年见顶，然后在本十年结束时再次出现下降趋势，部分原因是巴西在过去6年陆上发现的石油量非常低，难以支撑长期增长。
Rystad表示：“未来几年，南美洲地区的海上钻井活动将保持在全球钻井活动的6%左右，而陆上钻井活动将保持在3%左右。值得注意的是，虽然南美洲地区海上井的数量明显低于陆上井数量，但海上井产量占南美洲当前产量的近一半，由于巴西和圭亚那的增产，预计到2024年将超过陆上井产量。”
Rystad预计，到2025年，页岩油和致密油将提供大部分产量增长，而巴西和圭亚那的深水开发正变得越来越重要。
Rystad能源服务研究首席分析师马修·黑尔表示：“这些国家将致力于增加产量，提高公民的生活水平。”
自2015年以来，圭亚那一直是全球海上油气发现总量的领导者，共发现112亿桶油当量，占已发现资源的18%和已发现石油的32%。其中，石油储量高达96亿桶，远远超过了排名第二的美国（28亿桶）。
李峻 编译自 美国油价网
原文如下：
South America’s offshore production will exceed onshore by 2024
New wells drilled in South America in 2014 contributed to 8% of new wells globally in the offshore sector and 4% in the onshore. And according to Norway-based Rystad Energy, activity has been on a downward trend since then, following the slump in oil prices in late 2014 and the following year.
“onshore drilling activity had a steep drop in 2016 before stabilizing, while offshore drilling activity saw a relatively smoother decline,” Rystad Energy said. “The number of new wells drilled in the region was hit again in 2020 with a 50% decrease recorded compared to the previous year, as the outbreak of Covid early in the year wreaked havoc on global markets.”
Drilling activity in South America in 2020 represented only 2% of global onshore activity and 3% of offshore.
The independent energy research and business intelligence company said the number of new wells has since increased due to the return of demand and the oil and gas price increase. Activity is expected to peak this year before going on another downward trend towards the end of the decade, partially due to Brazil having very low discovered onshore volumes in the last six years, making it difficult to support long-term growth.
“Offshore drilling activity in the region will remain at around 6% of global activity over the coming years, while onshore drilling will remain at around 3%,” Rystad Energy said. “It should be noted that, while the offshore well count in the region is significantly lower than that of onshore, offshore production makes up nearly half of South America’s current output and is expected to exceed onshore production by 2024 due to increases in Brazil and Guyana.”
While Rystad Energy expects shale and tight oil to supply most of the production growth through 2025, deepwater developments in Brazil and Guyana are becoming increasingly important.
“These countries are committed to growing production and improving the standard of living for their citizens,” said Matthew Hale, Lead Analyst, Energy Service Research at Rystad Energy.
Guyana remains the global leader in total offshore discoveries since 2015, with 11.2 billion barrels of oil equivalent, amounting to 18% of discovered resources and 32% of discovered oil. Of the total, a whopping 9.6 billion barrels are oil, far outpacing the US in second place with a comparatively small 2.8 billion barrels.
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