消息人士说:如果今年冬天全球石油市场遭遇严重的供应危机,沙特和阿联酋准备“显著增加”原油产量
欧佩克成员国的备用日产能合计在200万桶至270万桶之间
分析师认为,欧佩克备用产能的信息“至关重要”
据美国油价网8月4日报道,3位匿名消息人士向路透社记者透露,沙特和阿联酋有能力生产更多的原油,但他们不会开发这一紧急原油产能——至少目前不会。
这是欧佩克产油国向市场传达的一个关键信息,不能被视为欧佩克已失去对市场的控制,这种控制只来自于在需求出现时有多余的产能来影响市场。
消息人士称,如果今年冬天市场遭遇严重的供应危机,沙特和阿联酋准备“显著增加”原油产量。消息人士称,只有在出现供应危机的情况下,上述两国才会动用这些备用产能。
一位消息人士对路透社说:“由于欧洲今年冬天可能没有天然气供应,而明年可能对产能大国原油销售实施价格上限,我们现在不能把所有的原油都投放到市场上。我们唯一能证明我们有更多备用产能的时候,就是面对一场持久危机的时候。”
消息人士称,欧佩克成员国的备用日产能合计为200万桶—270万桶。
尽管如此,欧佩克+并没有达到两年前欧佩克+协议制定的当前产量目标。最新数据显示,欧佩克+对减产协议的履行率为320%,但比目标产量低了250多万桶。
尽管欧佩克+产量不足,但全球油价在最近一周有所回落。然而,沙特向包括亚洲在内的全球大多数市场上调了其9月份出口大部分原油等级的官方售价。
李峻 编译自 美国油价网
原文如下:
Saudi Arabia And The UAE Won’t Be Tapping Emergency Oil Capacity
· Sources: Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates are ready to deliver a "significant increase" in crude oil production if the market should run up against a severe supply crisis this winter.
· Combined, OPEC members have between 2 million bpd and 2.7 million bpd in spare production capacity.
· Message about OPEC spare capacity is seen as 'critical' by analysts.
Saudi Arabia and the UAE have the capacity to produce more crude oil, but they won't tap that capacity—at least not yet, according to three anonymous Reuters sources.
The message is a critical one for the OPEC producers to get across to the market, which cannot be seen as losing its control over the market—control that comes only from having the spare capacity to affect the market should the need arise.
According to the sources, Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates are ready to deliver a "significant increase" in crude oil production if the market should run up against a severe supply crisis this winter. The sources said that this spare capacity would only be tapped in the event of a supply crisis.
"With possibly no gas in Europe this winter, with a potential price cap on Russian oil sales in the New Year, we can't be throwing every barrel on the market at the moment," one of the Reuters sources said, "The only time we can prove we have more spare capacity is when it comes to a long-lasting crisis."
The sources said that combined, OPEC members have between 2 million bpd and 2.7 million bpd in spare production capacity.
Nevertheless, OPEC+--and OPEC—has failed to meet the current production targets laid out by the OPEC+ agreement agreed to two years ago. The most recent data suggests that the group's compliance rate with its production cuts is 320%, producing more than 2.5 million bpd under target.
Despite the group's under production, global oil prices have eased in the recent week. Saudi Arabia, however, raised its official selling price for most of its crude grades to most markets—including Asia.
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