今年欧佩克成员国净石油出口收入将达到9070亿美元

据美国钻井网站2022年8月23日报道，去年欧佩克成员国的净石油出口收入达到5700亿美元。

这是美国能源信息署（EIA）根据欧佩克的一份新情况说明书作出上述估计的，EIA指出，欧佩克去年的净石油出口收入比2020年增加78%，而2020年这一数字据称总计约为3200亿美元。 

EIA在新情况说明书中称：“去年欧佩克成员国净石油出口收入的增加可以归因于欧佩克产量增加和原油价格上涨。”

EIA在新情况说明书中补充道：“去年，由于欧佩克+产量目标的提高，欧佩克增加了原油产量；所有欧佩克成员国去年的原油日总产量从2020年的3070万桶增加到3170万桶。由于全球原油消费量超过原油产量，原油价格也出现上涨，导致全球原油库存持续减少。”

EIA继续表示：“去年全球原油消费量增加是由于经济活动增加，全球经济开始恢复到疫情暴发之前的状况。”

在新情况说明书中，EIA估计，去年沙特阿拉伯的净石油出口收入为1840亿美元，是欧佩克所有成员国中最高的。伊拉克排名第二，为830亿美元，阿联酋排名第三，为750亿美元。 

展望2022年，EIA预测欧佩克净石油出口收入将增加到9070亿美元。 EIA在说明书中指出，这一增长归因于欧佩克原油和其他液体产品产量的增加以及原油价格的上涨，EIA预计今年沙特阿拉伯净石油出口收入最高，为3040亿美元。伊拉克将以1310亿美元再次名列第二，而阿联酋将以1250亿美元再次名列第三。  

在2023年，EIA预计欧佩克的净石油出口收入将减少到8350亿美元。 

新情况说明书称：“我们预测，明年全球原油价格将下降，这反映出全球石油库存在今年第二季度开始增加，并将在2023年的大部分时间内继续增加。”

据预测，2023年沙特阿拉伯的净石油净出口收入将达到2660亿美元，位居世界第一，其次是伊拉克和阿联酋，分别为1200亿美元。 

在最近一次会议上，欧佩克+决定将9月份的原油日产量提高10万桶。在6月30日举行的上次会议上，欧佩克+再次确认一项决定，即在8月份将其原油日产量上调64.8万桶。欧佩克+的下一次会议目前定在9月5日举行。  

李峻 编译自 美国钻井网站

原文如下：

What Is OPEC's Net Oil Export Revenue?

OPEC members earned about $570 billion in net oil export revenue last year.

That’s what the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) estimates, according to a new fact sheet by the organization, which noted that OPEC’s 2021 net revenue is a 78 percent increase from 2020, when this figure is said to have totaled an estimated $320 billion.

“The increase in net export revenue in 2021 can be attributed to a combination of increased OPEC production and higher crude oil prices during the year,” the EIA stated in the fact sheet.

“In 2021, OPEC increased production as OPEC+ production targets rose; total liquids production among all OPEC producers rose to 31.7 million barrels per day in 2021 from 30.7 million bpd in 2020. Crude oil prices also rose as global oil consumption outpaced oil production, resulting in persistent withdrawals from global oil inventories,” the EIA added in the fact sheet.

“The increase in oil consumption in 2021 occurred as economic activity increased and the global economy began to return to pre-Covid-19 conditions,” the EIA continued.

In the fact sheet, the EIA estimated that Saudi Arabia’s net export revenue was the highest among OPEC members in 2021 at $184 billion. Iraq was listed as having the second highest, at $83 billion, and the UAE was listed as having the third highest, at $75 billion.

Looking ahead to 2022, the EIA fact sheet forecasts that OPEC net oil export revenue will increase to $907 billion. This increase is attributable to an increase in crude oil and other liquids production by OPEC along with an increase in crude oil prices, the EIA noted in the fact sheet, which lists Saudi Arabia’s projected revenue in 2022 as the highest, at $304 billion. Iraq is again listed second, with $131 billion, and the UAE is again third, with $125 billion.

In 2023, the EIA fact sheet expects that OPEC net export revenue will decrease to $835 billion.

“We forecast that global crude oil prices will decrease in 2023, reflecting global oil inventories that began to build in the second quarter of 2022 and that will continue to build through much of 2023,” the fact sheet states.

Saudi Arabia is projected to have the highest net oil export revenue in 2023 at $266 billion, followed by Iraq and the UAE in joint second, with $120 billion each.

At its latest meeting, which was held, OPEC+ decided to adjust its production level up by 100,000 barrels per day for the month of September. At OPEC+’s previous meeting, which was held on June 30, the group reconfirmed a decision to adjust its production level up by 648,000 barrels per day in August. OPEC+’s next meeting is currently scheduled to take place on September 5.