据美国油价网2022年9月1日报道，美国彭博新闻社近日对19名行业观察人士的调查中多数人表示，欧佩克+预计将在9月5日开会评估石油市场状况时，将其10月份原油产量目标维持在9月份的水平上。
在接受调查的19名专家中，共有15名专家预计欧佩克+将在下周开会时将10月份的原油产量目标维持在9月份的水平上。
今年8月份，沙特阿拉伯提出了新的减产想法，这个欧佩克最大产油国能源大臣表示，欧佩克+准备在任何时间以任何形式减产，只要它认为这将为“精神分裂”的石油市场带来稳定。
在沙特阿拉伯发出这个信号后，欧佩克今年轮值主席、刚果能源部长Bruno Jean-Richard Itoua也表示支持可能的减产。一位熟悉阿联酋想法的消息人士上周告诉路透社，阿联酋对原油市场的看法与沙特阿拉伯类似。
包括伊拉克、哈萨克斯坦在内的一些欧佩克+产油国也表示支持新的产量限制。
然而，行业观察人士告诉彭博社的调查，欧佩克+更有可能保持10月份的配额不变，欧佩克+未来几天和几周需要关注的其他关键因素包括对第三和第四季度全球石油需求的估计，以及欧佩克+主要成员国的原油供应。
在8月初的会议上，欧佩克+决定将9月份的集体原油日产量目标略微提高10万桶。
李峻 编译自 美国油价网
原文如下：
OPEC+ Expected To Keep October Output Quota Flat
OPEC+ is expected to keep its October crude oil production target stable from the September quota when the group meets on September 5 to review oil market conditions, a majority of 19 industry observers polled by Bloomberg said.
A total of 15 of the 19 experts surveyed expect the producer group to keep the oil output target for October at the same level as in September when they meet next week.
In August, Saudi Arabia floated the idea of new production cuts as the Energy Minister of OPEC’s top producer, Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman, said that OPEC+ was ready to cut production at any time in any form if it believes it would bring stability to the “schizophrenic” oil market.
After the Saudi signal, OPEC’s rotating president for this year, Congo’s Hydrocarbons Minister Bruno Jean-Richard Itoua, also expressed support for potential cuts. The United Arab Emirates (UAE) has similar views to Saudi Arabia on the crude oil markets, a source familiar with the UAE’s thinking told Reuters last week.
Some other OPEC+ producers, including Iraq, and Kazakhstan, have also signaled support for new production restrictions.
However, OPEC+ is more likely to keep quotas flat for October until it sees how the negotiations on the so-called Iranian nuclear deal would continue, industry observers told the Bloomberg survey.
Other key factors for OPEC+ to watch in the coming days and weeks include estimates of global oil demand in the third and fourth quarters, as well as the oil supply from a key OPEC+ member.
At the early August meeting, OPEC+ decided to slightly raise the collective target for September by just 100,000 bpd.
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