据海上工程师网2022年9月19日奥斯陆报道，挪威能源巨头Equinor在日前发布的《能源展望2022》报告中表示，世界能源市场的长期发展以及政治、技术、企业和消费者如何能够影响这个发展是能源转型的首要主题。
随着通货膨胀的肆虐，地缘政治的混乱和由此产生的能源安全问题，以及持续的物流问题，Equinor在其《能源展望2022》报告中发布了其对能源未来的深刻见解。
随着价格的上涨和总体生活成本的显著上升，能源供应安全已成为能源政策议程的首要问题，使能源可负担性牢牢占据议程。气候挑战仍将是推动能源系统脱碳的长期动力。尽管如此，短期至中期的重点也应放在解决提高能源安全和可负担性问题的备选办法上。
Equinor总裁兼首席执行官anders Opedal说，在这些考验时刻，我们必须专注于可持续能源未来所需的长期变革措施和结构变革。实现《巴黎协定》的目标是一个巨大的挑战，需要政府、企业、投资者和消费者的持续参与、合作和承诺。
《能源展望2022》是一份由Equinor分析师撰写的独立报告。
今年的报告对世界经济、国际能源市场和与能源有关的温室气体排放提出了两种截然不同的设想。这些情景不是预测，而是可能的相反路径，为辩论和决策提供平台。
“墙”和“桥”这两种情景说明了截然不同的未来道路。他们的目标是强调必须克服的巨大挑战，从今天能源转型的缓慢、渐进的变化（Walls），到使世界走上与《巴黎协定》1.5°C目标一致的道路所需的根本性变化（Bridges）。
Equinor首席经济学家Eirik Wærness说：“隔墙有墙，桥相连。基于今天和未来的选择，我们的新方案为长期的能源未来描绘出一个巨大的成果空间。”
李峻 编译自 海上工程师网
原文如下：
Will the future be Walls or Bridges? Equinor releases "Energy Perpectives 2022"
Energy Perspectives 2022: Long-term development in the world’s energy markets and how politics, technologies, companies, and consumers can influence it, is an overarching theme of the energy transition.
With inflation raging, geopolitical disruption and resultant energy security concerts, and continued logistics woes, the table is set for Equinor to deliver its insights on energy courtesy of its "Energy Perspectives 2022" report.
Security of supply has come to the forefront of the energy policy agenda, with rising prices and significant increases in overall cost of living, keeping energy affordability firmly on the agenda. The climate challenge will remain as a long-term driver for decarbonization of our energy system. Nevertheless, short- to medium-term focus should also be expected on those options addressing increased energy security and affordability.
“In these testing times, we must stay focused on the longer-term transformative measures and structural changes needed for a sustainable energy future. Reaching the goals of the Paris Agreement is an immense challenge and will require continuous engagement, collaboration and commitment from governments, industries, investors, and consumers alike,” saidAnders Opedal, President and CEO of Equinor.
Energy Perspectives is an independent report prepared by Equinor analysts.
This year, the report presents two distinct scenarios for the world economy, international energy markets and energy-related greenhouse gas emissions. The scenarios are not predictions but possible contrasting pathways, providing a platform for debate and decision making.
The two scenarios, Walls and Bridges, illustrate very different future pathways. They aim to highlight the immense challenges that must be overcome to make the move from the slow, incremental changes that characterise the energy transition today (Walls), to the radical changes needed to move the world onto a path aligned with the 1.5°C ambition of the Paris agreement (Bridges).
“Walls divide and bridges connect. Our new scenarios paint a large outcome space for what the long-term energy future might look like based on choices made today and going forward,” says Wærness.
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