据油价网9月29日报道，欧佩克和欧佩克+消息人士周四告诉路透社，在10月5日举行的欧佩克月度例会之前，欧佩克与欧佩克联盟的几个主要产油国已开始就可能削减石油产量进行谈判。
石油输出国组织（OPEC）将于下周三召开会议，讨论市场和基本面形势，因为油价已跌至每桶90美元以下，这是地缘政治冲突之前的最后一个水平。
石油输出国组织的一位消息人士告诉路透社，该组织“很可能”会同意削减石油产量。
在上一次会议上，欧佩克+扭转了9月份每日10万桶的增长，并将10月份的配额恢复到8月份的水平。
尽管该集团集体目标的微小调整对于石油市场平衡来说微不足道，但欧佩克+表示随时准备干预市场。9月初的会议决定“请主席考虑在必要时随时召开欧佩克和非欧佩克部长级会议，讨论市场发展问题”。
本周早些时候，熟悉产能大国的路透社消息人士表示，该国可能会在下一次欧佩克+会议上提议，该组织从该组织的总产量中每天削减100万桶。
事实上，考虑到包括该国在内的许多欧佩克+成员国的产量远远低于各自的目标，削减幅度将小得多。
一项最新估计显示，8月份配额与实际产量之间的差距将扩大至每日358万桶。
无论如何，下周欧佩克+石油输出国组织（OPEC）大幅减产将支撑油价，分析师越来越一致认为减产即将到来。
据彭博社报道，RBC Capital Markets首席大宗商品策略师Helima Croft周四表示：“我们肯定看到，生产商集团将选择大幅削减，以试图表明市场确实存在有效的断路器。”据克罗夫特称，日减产可能高达100万桶。
寿琳玲 编译自 油价网
原文如下：
OPEC+ Is Considering A Substantial Oil Production Cut
Several major producers of the OPEC+ alliance have started talks about a potential oil production cut ahead of the regular monthly OPEC+ meeting on October 5, OPEC and OPEC+ sources told Reuters on Thursday.
OPEC+ meets next Wednesday to discuss the market and fundamentals situation as oil prices have fallen below $90 per barrel, a level last seen just before the war.
It is "likely" that the group will agree on a cut, a source at OPEC told Reuters.
At the previous meeting, OPEC+ reversed the 100,000-barrels-per-day increase for September and returned the October quota to the levels from August.
While the slight tweak in the group's collective target is negligible for oil market balances, OPEC+ signaled readiness to intervene in the market at any time. The meeting in early September decided to "Request the Chairman to consider calling for an OPEC and non-OPEC Ministerial Meeting anytime to address market developments, if necessary."
Earlier this week, Reuters sources familiar with the thinking said that it was likely to propose at the next OPEC+ meeting that the group cut 1 million barrels per day (bpd) from the group's collective output.
In reality, the cut would be much smaller, considering that many OPEC+ members, including the larger producer, are pumping well below their respective targets.
One of the latest estimates put the gap between the quota and actual output widening to a massive 3.58 million bpd in August.
At any rate, a large cut from OPEC+ next week would support oil prices, and there is growing consensus among analysts that a production cut is coming.
"We certainly see a significant chance that the producer group will opt for a substantial cut to try to signal that there is indeed an effective circuit breaker in the market," Helima Croft, chief commodities strategist at RBC Capital Markets, said on Thursday, as carried by Bloomberg. The cut could be as much as 1 million bpd, according to Croft.
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